The "January Effect" - An Annual Phenomenon Since 2009

Sunday, December 16, 2012

Jeffrey Carr


I was recently interviewed for a feature in Discover Magazine's Top 100 Stories of 2012 (January 2013 issue - on newsstands now). I'm #62 "Defender of the Digital Domain".

During the interview, I was asked about a future forecast for 2013. I mentioned a phenomenon that I've noticed each year since 2009 - a major breach or act of cyber warfare that kicks off the New Year.

It may start in December and then get publicized in January, or happen in January and get publicized a bit later but it has happened four years in a row now so I fully expect it to occur once again.

  • December 2008 - January 2009: Operation Cast Lead (a land war w/ thousands of simultaneous cyber attacks between Israel and Hamas)
  • December 2009 - January 2010: Google and 20+ companies are breached
  • January 2011 (approximate) - March 2011: RSA was breached sometime early in 2011 with the announcement being made on March 17, 2011
  • January 2012: A hacker announces that he has Symantec's source code for Norton and other products.


What will occur or be announced in December 2012 - January 2013? I have no idea but I'm confident that it'll be something impressive.

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